01Definition
Decision states connect evidence to a written plan: Skip, Watch, Probe, Add/Hold, or Reduce/Exit.
02Why it matters
A clear state helps stop excitement from silently changing the rules.
03What to check
- Thesis: supported, weak, or unresolved
- Hygiene: failure, critical unknown, or provisionally acceptable
- Conditions for reassessment and executable actions
04Healthy / Dangerous
Healthy
Every decision has evidence, limits, and conditions for changing it.
Dangerous
A label is treated as an automatic trade instruction.
05Beginner mistake
Promoting Watch to entry because price moved.
06Takeaway
Identify what can kill the trade before acting.
See the idea
- 01
Interesting narrative, but a critical permission is unresolved: Watch.
- 02
Verification reveals a severe restriction: Skip.
- 03
The thesis never overrides the failed hygiene check.
Trace it externally
These are learning labels for your plan, not Meme Fast ratings or trade signals. Critical evidence and execution conditions must be checked independently.
Go deeper
Skip means a severe hygiene failure or no credible thesis. Watch keeps unresolved cases under observation. Probe describes limited initial exposure only after the necessary checks and a plan. Add/Hold requires confirming evidence within that plan; Reduce/Exit responds to deterioration and execution constraints. Neither a label nor a provisional check promises safety.
Need the basics? Revisit 101A →