01Definition
A lifecycle is a working map: discovery, expansion, supply transfer, repricing, then a base or failure.
02Why it matters
The same pause can mean different things before and after major supply transfer.
03What to check
- What happened before the current range
- Evidence of demand and ownership changes
- Conditions that would support or invalidate continuation
04Healthy / Dangerous
Healthy
The stage description changes when the evidence changes.
Dangerous
Every token is forced into a fixed sequence or promised next stage.
05Beginner mistake
Using the same interpretation at every stage.
06Takeaway
Locate the stage. Keep the next outcome conditional.
See the idea
- 01
Expansion is followed by selling and a lower stable range.
- 02
Demand later returns and the range starts being tested from above.
- 03
Continuation is a hypothesis to test, not a scheduled next step.
Try it on a token
See it in Meme Fast → SwingCompare Hours and Days research context, then investigate in Inspect. Rankings do not assign verified lifecycle stages or predict returns.
Go deeper
Continuation and failure are branches, not compulsory destinations. If history, ownership, or current demand is missing, describe the stage as uncertain and record what evidence you need next.
Need the basics? Revisit 101A →