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Learn / 202B · Swing / 06

202B.6 / CHAPTER 6 OF 11

Expansion & pullback

Is the decline testing the base or breaking it?

01Definition

Expansion moves out of a range. A pullback tests what buying remains after that move.

02Why it matters

The percentage decline alone cannot distinguish a retest from structural failure.

03What to check

  • The prior breakout area and base
  • Sell activity and subsequent recovery
  • Liquidity changes and external holder evidence

04Healthy / Dangerous

Healthy

Selling cools and repeated buying stabilizes price near the prior area.

Dangerous

The base fails, rebounds weaken, and liquidity deteriorates.

05Beginner mistake

Calling every 30–50% drop either healthy or dead.

06Takeaway

Judge what the pullback does to the structure.

ILLUSTRATIVE · NOT A LIVE TOKEN

See the idea

  1. 01

    Price expands from a range, then declines 35%.

  2. 02

    The prior breakout area holds through repeated tests.

  3. 03

    The decline may be a retest; a sustained loss of that area weakens the view.

Try it on a token

See it in Meme Fast → Inspect

Use available historical candles for ranges and returned swaps for observed flow. Candle volume does not provide a buy/sell split.

Go deeper

Base → expansion → pullback → continuation is one possible path. Specify what would count as a failed retest before interpreting every rebound as confirmation.

Need the basics? Revisit 101A →