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Learn / 303B · Actor Inventory & Incentives / 01

303B.1 / CHAPTER 1 OF 6

Read inventory, not green buys

Is the wallet increasing or reducing meaningful exposure?

01Definition

A capital action materially changes exposure. Tiny buys can coexist with larger sales and declining inventory.

02Why it matters

Transaction count and color can obscure the net position change.

03What to check

  • Buy and sell quantities across the same window
  • Transfers and balances across relevant addresses
  • Whether wallet links and coverage are actually established

04Healthy / Dangerous

Healthy

The interpretation accounts for size, transfers, and missing history.

Dangerous

Many small buys are treated as proof of accumulation.

05Beginner mistake

Inferring support intent from one transaction.

06Takeaway

Follow meaningful exposure changes over time.

ILLUSTRATIVE · NOT A LIVE TOKEN

See the idea

  1. 01

    A wallet buys ten lots of 1,000 units.

  2. 02

    It also sells 50,000 units in that window.

  3. 03

    Observed swaps imply a 40,000-unit reduction, before transfers.

Try it on a token

See it in Meme Fast → Inspect

Compare sizes and directions of sampled swaps. Reconcile balances and transfers externally; observed swap net is not complete inventory or proof of intent.

Go deeper

The source calls tiny promotional or trading activity moderation. Relative size matters more than a fixed SOL threshold. Attention support during distribution is a possible interpretation requiring a sequence of evidence, not an intent label inferred from small buys. Dollar net flow and token inventory change are different measures.

Need the basics? Revisit 101A →